M.B. de Kleine
Gebruik van een projectmodel voor het voorspellen vam voltooiingstijden
Report 2006.TL.7093, Transport Engineering and Logistics.
When receiving a new order, most companies have to set out a deadline for
completion of this order. If the order is not completed in time, financial
penalties may follow.
In order to get more knowledge on the order and the execution process,
simulations can be done using a project model. Interesting to know is in
which ways this model can be used to predict the execution time of a new
order, considering the circumstances of the moment the order is introduced.
In order to investigate these possibilities a scheduling model has been
created, which can be used to give a better representation of the reality.
The results of the scheduling model have been compared to the results of the
project model. The goal of the comparison is to detect similarities in
behavior. During this research, three types of orders have been used, each
varying in shape (activity execution sequence) and minimal, average and
maximal activity execution time.
Results indicate that there are similarities between the project model and
the scheduling model when the completion time of a newly introduced order is
being investigated. During the time span of this research is was not
possible to clarify these similarities; it was only possible to show the
existence. Hard facts on the possibility to use the project model to predict
the completion time can not be given.
In order to get a more detailed view of the possiblities of using the
project model, more research must be done. It is recommended that further
research is done using the scheduling model that has been produced during
Reports on Transport Engineering and Logistics (in Dutch)
, TU Delft